Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.021272 0.022875 0.024542 0.026405 0.028432 0.030572 0.033005
2026-01-11 0.018680 0.020997 0.023529 0.026509 0.029928 0.033739 0.038321
2026-01-18 0.016928 0.019656 0.022752 0.026537 0.031060 0.036313 0.042910
2026-01-25 0.015702 0.018718 0.022244 0.026694 0.032190 0.038799 0.047409
2026-02-01 0.014519 0.017692 0.021495 0.026424 0.032688 0.040446 0.050877
2026-02-08 0.013456 0.016710 0.020699 0.025989 0.032883 0.041647 0.053769
2026-02-15 0.012651 0.015985 0.020153 0.025799 0.033328 0.043136 0.057064
2026-02-22 0.011912 0.015288 0.019585 0.025520 0.033603 0.044370 0.060041
2026-03-01 0.011291 0.014702 0.019118 0.025328 0.033954 0.045690 0.063171
2026-03-08 0.010735 0.014167 0.018680 0.025135 0.034270 0.046948 0.066254
2026-03-15 0.010322 0.013800 0.018442 0.025192 0.034918 0.048682 0.070103
2026-03-22 0.009888 0.013378 0.018103 0.025078 0.035300 0.050033 0.073436
2026-03-29 0.009484 0.012994 0.017817 0.025053 0.035850 0.051720 0.077489
2026-04-05 0.009139 0.012679 0.017614 0.025138 0.036569 0.053702 0.082147
2026-04-12 0.008803 0.012358 0.017383 0.025162 0.037186 0.055552 0.086704
2026-04-19 0.008528 0.012110 0.017244 0.025310 0.037989 0.057720 0.091907
2026-04-26 0.008163 0.011711 0.016858 0.025056 0.038140 0.058849 0.095436
2026-05-03 0.007781 0.011271 0.016390 0.024647 0.038014 0.059510 0.098187
2026-05-10 0.007485 0.010946 0.016081 0.024468 0.038243 0.060752 0.102015
2026-05-17 0.007188 0.010606 0.015732 0.024205 0.038314 0.061724 0.105411
2026-05-24 0.006929 0.010314 0.015444 0.024024 0.038505 0.062901 0.109242
2026-05-31 0.006685 0.010036 0.015165 0.023843 0.038682 0.064052 0.113088
2026-06-07 0.006508 0.009856 0.015034 0.023896 0.039258 0.065926 0.118412